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Experience Base – Probabilistic
Risk Analysis
Kazarians & Associates, Inc. has its roots in conducting
probabilistic risk analyses for nuclear power and chemicals
handling facilities.
- For several nuclear power plants, Dr. Kazarians has conducted
probabilistic analysis of specific systems for inclusion in
the probabilistic risk analysis. These analyses included reliability
data manipulation, and human error probability evaluation.
- For a nuclear fuel processing plant, Dr. Kazarians conducted
a quantitative risk analysis (QRA) focused on hydrofluoric acid
handling. The final results were presented in terms of risk
contours.
- Dr. Kazarians managed a major comparative risk analysis of
flammable liquids transport through roadway tunnels for the
California Department of Transportation (CALTRANS). This study
included on-site monitoring and statistical analysis of the
flammable liquid cargo truck traffic and alternative route selection;
risk estimation using accident analysis; and consequence and
structural damage assessment for the tunnels as a result of
fire and explosion. Special risk matrices were developed to
aid the decision makers in evaluating the different elements
of the risk.
- Dr. Kazarians led the effort for the Chemical Manufacturers
Association in developing TRACS, a spreadsheet-based quantitative
risk assessment tool for transportation of highly hazardous
materials.
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